Wednesday, June 04, 2008

Ohio Among Nine 'Tossup' States in Race
For Presidency, Says NPR/PBS Newshour

This nifty interactive map tells the story. According to the public broadcasting duo, Ohio, New Mexico, Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Virginia and New Hampshire remain up for grabs in the general election. But by that same calculation, McCain now has 232 (compared to Obama's 200) of the 270 electoral votes needed to win. That means, at least under this scenario, that winning just Ohio and Pennsylvania (with 20 and 21 electoral votes, respectively) would put him in the White House. I'll be honest: I don't really see Obama winning either state, based on how poorly he ran against Hillary in the Dem primaries in both places. Of course, lots of other states--like North Carolina, for instance--could turn in the other direction before November. But it's going to be interesting, folks.


At 6:27 AM, Blogger redhorse said...

Matters little about Ohio and PA, if as I expect, he can win the upper midwest, Iowa, CO, and NM. Then it comes down to VA and possibly NC.

Yes, he can win without Ohio and PA, that's been part of his appeal all along, the possibility of changing that hideous red state/blue state map mentality.

At 1:01 PM, Blogger John Ettorre said...

Thanks, Redhorse. That second part is particularly well said, and probably accurate (after all, you follow politics more closely than I do). We certainly agree that NC might well become the crucial swing state.


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